Dokumentdetails
ID

oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:1094...

Thema
Review
Autor
Ma, Lijun Tibble, Holly
Langue
en
Editor

Dove

Kategorie

Journal of Asthma and Allergy

Jahr

2024

Auflistungsdatum

16.08.2024

Schlüsselwörter
practice review implementation asthma models
Metrisch

Zusammenfassung

Prognostic models hold great potential for predicting asthma exacerbations, providing opportunities for early intervention, and are a popular area of current research.

However, it is unclear how models should be compared and contrasted, given their differences in both design and performance, particularly with a view to potential implementation in routine practice.

This systematic review aimed to identify novel predictive models of asthma attacks in adults and compare differences in construction related to populations, outcome definitions, prediction time horizons, algorithms, validation, and performance estimation.

Twenty-five studies were identified for comparison, with varying definitions of asthma attacks and prediction event time horizons ranging from 15 days to 30 months.

The most commonly used algorithm was logistic regression (20/25 studies); however, none of the six which tested multiple algorithms identified it as highest performing algorithm.

The effect of various study design characteristics on performance was evaluated in order to provide context to the limitations of highly performing models.

Models used a variety of constructs, which affected both their performance and their viability for implementation in routine practice.

Consultation with stakeholders is necessary to identify priorities for model refinement and to create a benchmark of acceptable performance for implementation in clinical practice.

Ma, Lijun,Tibble, Holly, 2024, Primary Care Asthma Attack Prediction Models for Adults: A Systematic Review of Reported Methodologies and Outcomes, Dove

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